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Paz de Westfalia según el óleo “Ratificación del
Tratado de Münster”, 1648
Lo que sigue es
muy útil para iluminar a los salames que te vienen con la terminología de moda:
“gobernanza global”, “nuevo orden mundial”, “responsabilidad corporativa”,
“democracia directa de las ONGs”, y mil mierdas por el estilo. El artículo fue
escrito para Red Voltaire por el epistemólogo sirio Imad Fawzi Shueibi. No
tiene desperdicio:
Título: Stumbling
World Order and Its Impacts
Epígrafe: Despite
the fact that President Barack Obama presents himself as the promoter of a New
International Order organised around the NATO and certain new military pacts
like the developing Joint Arab Force, the result of the public and secret
military operations of the United States is breeding quite the opposite - the
installation of a growing, invasive Disorder. The Syrian epistemologist Imad
Fawzi Shueibi analyses this paradox from the point of view of the Straussian
theory of "creative chaos", of which Daesh is the prime example
Texto: In the
interval between two world orders, there is a world war and a transitional
period followed by a tightening international grip.
The West formed a
World Order in 1648 following the Westphalia Treaty and the Thirty Years War.
The Treaty of Westphalia laid down four fundamental principles:
- 1. The absolute
sovereignty of the nation-state, and the fundamental right to political
self-determination.
- 2. Legal
equality between nation-states. The smallest state is, therefore, equal to the
largest, regardless of its weakness or strength, or wealth or poverty.
- 3. The
International Compliance with treaties, and the emergence of "Binding
International Law".
- 4.
Non-interference in the internal affairs of other states.
Afterwards, a new
world order was established. It was called “The One Hundred Years Peace”
1813-1914, and it shaped the International Rules of the Game; War Game, Peace
Game and Rules of Struggle.
The outset of the
First World War was an indication to the end of the previous International
Order and beginning of a new one, and with the end of the Second World War and
end of the League of Nations, a new World Order was established.
With the collapse
of the Soviet Union, the Order of Post-WWII ended and a transitional period
started. during this transitional period, the United States of America
considered that everything related to Post WWII was byones; i.e., the Principle
of Sovereignty of Westphalia. Thus, the Westphalia Treaty was abolished “folded”
and so was the right to resist the type known by France in its Resistance of
the German Occupation. All that turned in the sense that the principle of
sovereignty was replaced with the Right of Humanitarian Intervention and
resistance was replaced with negotiations, and was even considered terrorism.
This was even
more enhanced with the toppling of the trade towers in September 11, 2001 when
the Neo-cons shaped the theory of their Masters Leo Strauss and Alan Bloom to
form a new unipolar world order [1]. That orientation needed an operation
arena, which came to be the Middle East. They started with Iraq, and proceeded
to Lebanon, so the domino effect started to roll on. However, their main
concern was to lay hand on Syria.
With this shift,
the stage of non-polarity started.
The twentieth
century started multipolar but soon it became bipolar, and with the end of the
Cold War the world order turned unipolar; i.e., a world order in which only one
super power dominates. The moment of unipolarity the world has known since the
fall of the Berlin Wall and Collapse of the USSR was so swift; it was only a
“moment” in the history. Things went on till we reached the world of
non-polarity in which power is distributed over several powers.
If the order is
multi-polar, it could be cooperative, and it could bear harmony among all its
powers, which are though few but working according to stable rules, the
violator of which shall be subject to penalty. This order could also be
competitive and revolves around the balance of power. It could be more apt to
struggle when this balance shakes. However, the case of non-polarity leaves no
space for cooperation; rather, it leads to chaos.
There are more
powers today than states themselves, yet only a few poles of these are not
nation-states. In such a kind of order, the national states lose their monopoly
of power. States face the challenge coming from the top and posed by regional
and international organizations, in addition to the challenge coming from the
bottom and posed by militias, foreigners, companies and non-governmental
organizations (NGO’s).
The world of
today has no polarity as an inevitable result of globalization. The latter
increased the amount, speed and significance of flows across the borders as regards
almost everything.
With the presence
of many parties with obvious power trying to exercise their influence, it would
be difficult to adopt massive responses because the world will be floating in
sweeping chaos.
The more the
non-polarity exists, the more non-polarity it will generate. Leaving the world
today in this state of non-polarity on its own will even make it more
complicated with time. The spread of disorder will make systems consisting of
more than one party go towards more arbitrarity.
Risks of the
International Chaos
Measuring the
efficiency and efficacy of any international leadership manifests in the
ability of major countries to set the rules of the International Order first
then assume the role of regulating the international struggles and controlling
or even preventing their occurrences with the highest levels of efficiency and
the least cost. However, having experience of two decades and a half reveals a
real fiasco in the effectiveness of the international leadership, which means
the inexistence of “order”; rather, an international chaotic situation. Thus,
there is no place for one pole to dominate and there is not even a system that
allows the world to be divided over two powers, nor is there experience or
possibility to accept a multi-polarity world.
This
international chaotic situation means the maintenance of severity of struggles
in places used to be areas for influence test balloons, such as the Middle
East, or having struggles through a third party, which will turn the who region
into a fight arena.
This struggle
will never cease unless the international powers come to an agreement. The
emergence of ISIS (Da’esh); however, requires amendment of the struggle and
fight rules, which is currently unclear.
The Scientific
Dimension of Chaos:
The idea starts
with the term “chaos” itself which is strangeness or unfamiliarity makes no
difference as long as it is the secret behind all disasters and catastrophes
that inflicted the whole world and yet to come.
This concept is
related to the concept of “The Butterfly Effect” in which a tiny event may
change an entire history. This is what chaos is doing; it has started the
process of changing the face of history and creating what the world has never
been familiar with ever since the end of the World War II.
Theoreticians of
the United States today have not arbitrarily chosen the word “chaos” to mean
the overwhelming and sweeping anarchy [2]. They even added the word “creative”
to it to give it even a bigger connotation, creating thus a new butterfly
effect that can be the cause of a big disaster inflicting the whole humanity.
“Chaos” does not
mean “disorder” as long as the latter means something that could be put back to
order. With “chaos” there is no possibility whatsoever to organize or put to
order. It is the “state of the early existence” mentioned in the Bible from
which the whole universe emerged. Without the hand of God, this world would not
have been ordered, or almost ordered. That was stated in the Genesis as
follows: "And the Earth was without form, and void; and darkness was upon
the face of the deep".
It was a real
chaos before the Hand of Creator or Demiurge set it to order.
Simply, the whole
issue centres around changing the world into a chaotic one with no organizing
power whatsoever except for the United States.
A strange theory,
isn’t it?
But it is really
so.
Some Americans
want the world to be out of order with the US as the only organizer, taking no
consideration to the threats this situation is posing to the whole world
including the US itself.
They say this is
the nature of the world, and the idea comes from the cosmos and existence
itself.
Didn’t the world
begin from an organized point that made the Big Bang which led to the creation
of galaxies up to the present time; i.e., a new galaxy is born every minute? In
Macro Physics, we know it is highly organized but in Micro Physics we find it
completely dispersed and in complete chaos. This is one of the modern science
paradoxes, especially in Quantum Physics.
To put it
differently and state it more accurately, according to the abovementioned
theoreticians, existence is originally chaotic because it starts with a point
considered the peak of organization from which the Big Bang starts, then it
turns to be sweeping chaos. To identify with this universe, the earth should
entirely be unorganized. Only the US will be enjoying a great order – like the
Big Bang – while the whole earthly existence will be hierarchical in chaos; i.e.,
some are fairly chaotic, others an less chaotic and others are overwhelmingly
chaotic.
For some
Americans, the biological aspect of the Chaos Theory lies in life itself:
Isn’t a child
born physically and physiologically well, and with the passage of time they
grow up, and the signs of senility begin to manifest? Then, their body develops
cancers, which are a type of internal chaos controlled by the brain, but when
the brain loses control, those cancerous cells become destructive. They destroy
the brain or invade the whole body which ends in death either by a disease that
used to have no effect in the past or a heart attack that would not have formed
if the body was in complete order. This is the lethal chaos. AIDS, for example,
is a fatal illness that indicates lack of immunity. It is a flagrant indication
that immunity may collapse and is not taken-for-granted just as order itself.
Entropy
Creators of the
Chaos Theory and supporters of spreading it all over the world see a physical
aspect of the theory; which is the Entropy.
The ides comes
out from the second law of the Theory of Thermodynamics, which states that any
change that happens automatically in a physical system should be accompanied
with an increase in its entropy; i.e., and increase in the levels of chaos
taking place in it. Thus, to change means to suffer from lack of order or
occurrence of chaos.
The question that
should be raised here is: what about humans, and humanity?
Theoretician in
the US say they do not give attention to this as long as all people are no more
than tools, and that this is how things naturally go.
If you say people
will die, they respond by saying they will die sooner or later, so why not
chaotically! Have not thousands of people died since the early existence? Did
not they die out of diseases in which case it is nature that says they are
tools of death?
Was not there a
terrifying massacre during the WWII which resulted in the death of about 80
million people and injury of about 128 million wounded and deformed? Why are
you surprised then at chaos?
What is strange
in this regard is the establishment of the United Nations which tries to set
the world to order and lessen its chaotic nature.
If you
terrifyingly inquire about this indeterminacy, they would say no one counts how
many are killed in wars. The death toll is only estimated. They die in war
because they are destined to, just as they are destined to die naturally. It is
physics that says so.
This is not only
cold bloodedness, but even cold mindedness.
Americans would
say physics tells that chaos is the norm while stability and order are the
exception and they would provide you with evidence from thermodynamics:
Any closed system
tends to change or transform automatically with the increase of its entropy or
chaos till it reaches the state of equal distribution of chaos in all its
points, just as the equal temperature, density and other aspects that water has
when cold and hot water is mixed. Reaching a balance in spreading chaos to all
will, probably, take some time.
Thus, Americans
create chaos and others adopt and apply it. The (others) receive it only to
reflect it, making the whole world in a vicious circle for which no beginning
or end is recognized, and no knowledge whatsoever about who has started it.
Non-polarity
Non-polarity is
the exception which might turn to be the norm. But, it has real dangers:
It could lead to
armed regional conflicts that are far from being controlled; durable, viable
and can swiftly spread from one place to another without regulations. Thus, it
could be governed by rules of unexpected realities, the butterfly effect, the
domino effect and chaos.
Non-polarity
could be a stimulus to push a super power to take a military risk in a place geographically
different from its own with the hope of decisively turning the state of
non-polarity into a state of multi-polarity or unipolarity “even for a while”.
It might also push towards a world war or coexistence with terrorism as an
inevitable reality. The example of this is the coexistence with Taliban and
opening embassies for it. So might coexistence with Da’esh be.
In non-polarity,
there is a kind of international fluidity that might open the way up to
coexistence with what used to be Terrorism and considering it as a status-quo.
The state of Lack
of Certainty is the optimum now in our expectations of what is yet to come.
Fragmentation not
disintegration
What is happening
now in the Middle East is fragmentation not disintegration taking into
consideration the big difference between both concepts. What is taking place in
the region is “fragmentation” as long as there is no cohesive unity between the
constituents of some countries due to the struggle. There are not even
international understandings or a will to disallow that. Still there are some
super powers that refuse changing the geopolitics and have not agreed on a new
Yalta. Therefore, no new divisions or countries will appear in the short run
unless the international scene changes, or prescription prevailed over
fragmentation that there came to appear new entities. Those new entities could
appear in the absence of a local or regional will to prevent them, or if there
is a state of international fluidity that is absented or unable of imposing a
decision or reaching an understanding about new geopolitics.
The basic caldron
that erupts the contemporary chaos is the Middle East. Comparing what is taking
place in the Region now to what happened during the First World War or the Cold
War is not accurate, for it is resembles the Thirty Years War when that
long-time conflict resulted in the destruction of large parts of Europe in the
first half of the Seventeenth Century.
If you consider
the situation in Europe at that time, you would know that in the years to come,
there will probably be various weak states unable to control vast areas of
their territories, and there will also be various militias and terrorist groups
working on increasing their influence, let alone the civil wars and the wars
between countries. Sectarian and societal identities will find a place and will
even surpass the national identities. Local players will continue to interfere
in the internal affairs of their neighbouring countries driven by the huge
natural resources supplies. Foreign players, however, will be either unable or
unwilling to let the region stabilize.
Thus, the bad can
easily be worse in case the US was reluctant or unable of being wiser or of
resorting to really more fruitful options. There is not even a one and sole
solution to problems because the nature of challenges differ from one region to
another and from one issue to another.
In fact,
solutions of any kind can only be, at best, managed but not reached.
The Middle East
is going towards disintegration and fragmentation, and the Caliphate State may
become reality, thus, negotiations and recognitions can follow. This might also
result in other Islamic Caliphates invoking the Archetype, and you may find out
that the wealthy states are the focal point and the long-sought desire of this
growingly multiplying caliphate.
Archetype
The archetype is
all the unconscious representations in human begins; i.e., it is everything
that individuals or groups get unconsciously whether mythical or semi-mythical
symbols of ancient individuals or communities. This is all characterized of
being totally moral and delighting, away from being harming or materialistic.
This conception of the archetype is what they seek to restore today though it
belongs to the past and there is no way to test its validity.
Those who
represent the archetype unconsciously and seek invoking it and reflecting it on
their present reality do not read history. If they happen to read, they only
read what boosts the archetypal images to revive but not to destroy them. Those
people live the past in their present day and just conceive its most charming
images.
With the
archetype, bliss and psychological balance are achieved in the subconscious.
With it, individuals or groups achieve balance in the earthly world and turn it
into an angelic one. Thus, there is an escape from what is real to what is
desired “by depicting it mythically”.
The archetype
constitutes the substratum joined by all humans upon which individuals “within
and under this construction” can build their future experiences. It is the
passion that turns the idea into reality. That is why there is insistence on
applying it to link it to the physical world.
In this sense,
the Islamic State (IS) becomes the archetype from which the blind sweeping
anarchy invented by the United States erupts. The game of looking for a place
for the Islamic State will cost the region suffering long years of chaos and
unrest, and will affect many parts of the world. It will be accompanied with a
degrading reputation of Islam and Arabs and the consequences will be really
dire.
This world is
really dangerous as it is posing a threat to nations. Its consequences will
reach every place on the globe unless this insanity stops. This requires the
establishment of an international order that can control the impacts of
non-polarity and stop it at the borders of the Nihilism theory that considers
chaos an order.
Notas:
[1] “Paul
Wolfowitz, the Pentagon’s Soul”, by Paul Labarique; “The Neo Conservatives and
the Policies of Constructive Chaos”, by Thierry Meyssan, Voltaire Network, 4
October 2004 and 27 July 2006.
[2] Anarchy in
the Freedictionary.com means “Absence of any form of political authority/
Political disorder and confusion”.
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