Hace varios días
que el presidente de Rusia y líder del mundo libre, Vladimir Putin, no
realiza apariciones en público. Las especulaciones al respecto son ya casi
salvajes: enfermedad terminal, asesinato, golpe de estado en Moscú, etc. Todo
puede suceder bajo la mirada atenta del Imperio del Caos. Acá posteamos unas
breves reflexiones de nuestro “rusólogo” de cabecera, el anónimo bloguero
conocido como “El Peregrino”. Lo que sigue viene de su sitio web The Vineyard
of the Saker (http://thesaker.is/rumors-about-putin/):
Título: Rumors
about Putin
Texto: Moscow
appears calm. I even checked a few well-placed webcams. Not a single semi-credible Russian sources
confirms Putin’s death or overthrow. Not
a single contact of mine is sounding the alarm.
No less importantly, the rumors range from death-by-cancer “caused by
plastic surgery” to palace coup supported by the Orthodox Church, to Shoigu
taking power. When I read that nonsense
I am not impressed. One Swiss website mentions that Putin’s alleged sweetheart
– Alina Kabaeva – is about to deliver his baby.
Maybe, I don’t know.
What I do know is
that a coup would be quasi-impossible to pull off, and if that happened 85%
plus of the Russian population would be up in arms and *extremely* mad. So if taking power in Russia is extremely
hard, keeping it would be even harder.
There is no way the Russians today would accept a junta like the one in
Kiev, not even a “patriotic” one.
I have been wrong
so often that I am afraid of being too categorical, but I have to be honest
above all else and this is why I will say that I personally rate the
possibility of a coup against Putin as exactly *zero*. I sure hope I am not wrong this time around…
Putin sick? Yes, maybe.
With the flu. Or even pneumonia. Exhaustion is a terrible thing for the immune
system. He might have had some minor
surgery of some kind. I wouldn’t know. But dead?
I doubt it. Of course, this is
not impossible (it never is), but I see NO reason to suspect that this has
happened.
Busy with the
Ukrainian crisis? Yes, very
possible. Kiev has just basically
reneged on all of the Minsk 2 Agreement and Russia has to prepare for the
worst.
How about “busy
with the crisis AND sick with the flu”?
That seems the best explanation to me.
I have no crystal
ball, no special connection to the Kremlin, and no way to prove a negative. But
at least so far, I see no evidence of something serious happening with Putin.
Let’s take a deep
breath and wait. I believe that Putin is
due to make an appearance on Monday.
Let’s see if he does, and if he does not, how Peskov will explain it.
Cheers, The Saker
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