El notable aumento de la frecuencia de eventos extremos parece ser uno de los rasgos más destacados de la ultima década. Así lo señala un reciente informe de las Naciones Unidas sobre estos fenómenos a escala global. Leemos en Reuters (las imágenes de abajo fueron tomadas directamente del informe):
Título: Weather
disasters occur almost daily, becoming more frequent: U.N.
Texto:
Weather-related disasters such as floods and heatwaves have occurred almost
daily in the past decade, almost twice as often as two decades ago, with Asia
being the hardest hit region, a U.N. report said on Monday.
While the report
authors could not pin the increase wholly on climate change, they did say that
the upward trend was likely to continue as extreme weather events increased.
Since 1995,
weather disasters have killed 606,000 people, left 4.1 billion injured,
homeless or in need of aid, and accounted for 90 percent of all disasters, it
said.
A recent peak
year was 2002, when drought in India hit 200 million and a sandstorm in China
affected 100 million. But the standout mega-disaster was Cyclone Nargis, which
killed 138,000 in Myanmar in 2008.
While geophysical
causes such as earthquakes, volcanoes and tsunamis often grab the headlines,
they only make up one in 10 of the disasters trawled from a database defined by
the impact.
The report,
called "The Human Cost of Weather Related Disasters", found there
were an average of 335 weather-related disasters annually between 2005 and
August this year, up 14 percent from 1995-2004 and almost twice as many as in the
years from 1985 to 1994.
"While
scientists cannot calculate what percentage of this rise is due to climate
change, predictions of more extreme weather in future almost certainly mean
that we will witness a continued upward trend in weather-related disasters in
the decades ahead," the report said.
The release of
the report comes a week before world leaders gather in Paris to discuss plans
to curb greenhouse gas emissions and prevent world temperatures rising.
The United
Nations says atmospheric levels of carbon dioxide, the main greenhouse gas that
causes global warming, have risen to a new record every year for the past 30
years.
"All we can
say is that certain disaster types are increasing. Floods are definitely
increasing," said Debarati Guha-Sapir, professor at the Centre for
Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters at UCL University in Louvain,
Belgium, which co-authored the report.
"Whether
it's increasing due to global warming, I think it's safe to say the jury's out
on that. But rather than focus on the ifs, whys and wherefores, I think we
should focus on how to manage floods."
Margareta
Wahlstrom, head of the U.N. Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNISDR), said
floods were not just caused by heavy rain but also by poorly planned
construction.
UNISDR estimates
natural disasters of all types cause losses of $250 billion-$300 billion
globally each year.
The report drew
on a database of weather events that defines an event as a disaster if 10 or
more people are killed, 100 or more are affected, a state of emergency is
declared, or if there is a call for international assistance.
The countries hit
by the highest number of weather-related disasters over the past decade were
the United States, with 472, China with 441, India with 288, the Philippines
with 274 and Indonesia with 163.
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