viernes, 13 de julio de 2018

Ultimo intento


En lo que parece un intento de último momento para estropear la próxima cumbre entre el presidente de la Federación Rusa, Vladimir Putin, y su par estadounidense Donald Trump, el Consejero Especial de este último país, Robert Muller (foto), acaba de acusar a doce ciudadanos rusos con cargos que van desde "conspiración" hasta "robo de identidad" e "intento de lavado de dinero". Todo suma, chicos. Así lo cuenta el sitio web Moon of Alabama



Título: No Evidence In Mueller's Indictment Of 12 Russians - Release Now May Sabotage Upcoming Summit

Texto: The Special counsel Robert Mueller issued an indictment (pdf, 29 pages) against 12 Russian people alleged to be officers or personal of the Russian Military Intelligence Service GRU. The people, claims the indictment, work for an operational (26165) and a technical (74455) subunit of the GRU.

A Grand Jury in Washington DC issued 11 charges which are described and annotated below. A short assessment follows.

The first charge is for a "Conspiracy to Commit an Offense Against the United States" by stealing emails and leaking them. The indictment claims that the GRU units sent spearfishing emails to the Hillary Clinton campaign and the Democratic Party organizations DNC and DCCC. They used these to get access to email boxes of John Podesta and other people. They are also accused of installing spyware (X-agent) on DNC computers and of exfiltrating emails and other data from them. The emails were distributed and published by the online personas DCLeaks, Guccifer II and later through Wikileaks. The indictment claims that DCLeaks and Guccifer II were impersonations by the GRU. Wikileaks, "organization 1" in the indictment, is implicated but so far not accused.

Note: There is a different Grand Jury for the long brewing case against Julian Assange and Wikileaks. Assange has denied that the emails he published came from a Russian source. Craig Murray, a former British ambassador, said that he received the emails on a trip to Washington DC and transported them to Wikileaks.

The indictment describes in some detail how various rented computers and several domain names were used to access the DNC and DCCC computers. The description is broadly plausible but there is little if any supporting evidence.

Charge 2 to 9 of the indictment are about "Aggravated Identity Theft" for using usernames and passwords for the personal email accounts of others.

Charge 10 is about a "Conspiracy to Launder Money". This was allegedly done "through a web of transaction structured to capitalize on the perceived anonymity of cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin". It is alleged that the accused mined bitcoins, channeled these through dozens of accounts and transactions and then used them to rent servers, virtual private network access and domain names used in the operation.

Note: The indictment reinforces the author's hunch that bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are creations and playgrounds of secret services just like Tor and other 'cool' internet 'privacy' stuff are. Its the very reason why one should avoid their use.

Charge 11 of the indictment is a "Conspiracy to Commit an Offense Against the United States". It claims that some of the accused hacked into state boards of elections and into U.S. companies providing elections related software.

Note: Other reporting found that the alleged attack resulted in no changes to the election results or other damage.

The Unites States will seek forfeiture of the valuables the accused may have within the United States as part of any sentencing of the accused.


Assessment:

- It is not by chance that this indictment was published now,  a few days before the first summit between Donald Trump and the Russian President Vladimir Putin and shortly before the successful soccer world championship in Russia ends. The release intends to sabotage the talks.

- The indictment describes a wide ranging operation but includes zero proof of anything it alleges.

- Mueller likely hopes that the indictment will never come in front of a court. The alleged stuff would be extremely difficult to prove. Any decent lawyer would ask how the claimed information was gained and how much of it was based on illegal snooping by the NSA. Something the U.S. would hate to reveal.

- It is unlikely that there will ever be a trial of these cases. The indicted persons are all Russians in Russia and none of them is likely to be stupid enough to follow an invitation to Las Vegas or to Disney World.
But who knows?


In February Mueller indicted the Russian Internet Research Agency, a clickbait farm run for commercial purpose, of influencing the U.S. election. The expectation then like now was that there would never be trial. In a surprise move one of the accused Russian companies, Concord Management, took up the challenge and demanded discovery. Mueller then tried to delay the hand over of evidence (which he probably does not have.) A judge rejected the attempt. The case is pending.

The indictment, which may well be made up and is unlikely to ever be tested in court, will reinforce the "Russia is an enemy" campaign which was launched way before the 2016 election. It will reinforce the believe of some Democrats that Russia, and not the selection of a disgusting candidate, cost Hillary Clinton the presidency.

The detente with Russia which U.S. president Donald Trump tries to achieve will now be more difficult to implement and to sustain.

1 comentario:

  1. Astro, descubriste el patrón mediático oligárquico en USA. Desde que asumió Trump, cada vez que se hablaba o insinuaba una negociación con Rusia, una cumbre, etc., inmediatamente surgía la campaña mediática-servicios británicos-FBI y Mueller contra Rusia.

    Si Trump defiende los intereses de USA, entonces el establishment que lo combate y lo quiere ver destituido defiende intereses contra USA.

    Si es el establishment el que defiende los intereses de USA, entonces Trump es un traidor.

    Yo creo que la verdad es que, por lo menos, Trump querría defender los intereses de USA y no los oligárquicos, lo que lo convierte en un traidor no a los intereses de USA sino a los oligárquicos.

    No nos equivoquemos en nuestro país en el análisis de lo que ocurre en USA, porque, si no sabemos distinguir las tendencias patrióticas fuera de nuestro país cuando volvamos a tener un gobierno patriota no vamos a saber elegir a nuestros aliados e interlocutores en el extranjero.

    Acá no hay que tener prejuicios ideológicos. Luego de Macri, vamos a tener que recomponer, si sigue Trump, las relaciones con USA. Si ellos son proteccionistas, nosotros también. Si ellos quieren reindustrializarse, nosotros también. Si ellos quieren desarrollar la infraestructura, nosotros también. Si ellos quieren amigarse con Rusia y China, nosotros también. Hay un montón de puntos en común. Lo que tenemos que ver y crear son formas de complementariedad con ellos. Ahora, si ellos quieren robarnos o saquearnos, nosotros lo impediremos.

    USA no es un país condenado a ser un Imperio, en la medida que sus fuerzas patrióticas puedan neutralizar o aminorar la geopolítica oligárquica que impregna las relaciones de USA con casi todos los países.

    Cuando recuperemos nosotros la soberanía después de Macri, debemos bregar para que en USA puedan recuperar la suya, lo que permitirá las relaciones de cooperación y eso favorecerá a ambos países.

    Seguir bajo la influencia del paradigma geopolítico de autoría británica ("intereses permanentes" = sacrificio de intereses de los demás; "equilibrio de poderes" = juegos de suma 0 y hacer pelear a unos contra otros para que acepten la hegemonía oligárquica anglosajona; "cambios de régimen" = socavamiento de las posibilidades soberanas de los demás, etc., etc.) es condenarnos a la miseria, la guerra, el terrorismo, etc., etc.

    Argentina, luego del gobierno de Macri, debe definir en qué mundo le gustaría vivir y qué haría para aportar a él y qué querría de ese mundo.

    Yo pienso que lo mejor es un mundo de Estados Nacionales (soberanos) que cooperen libremente en base a ideas (por ej. la Ruta de la seda de China) que signifiquen una ganancia para todos y no un mundo de Estados locales dominado por un Imperio global. En lugar de gastar energía en la lucha por las porciones de la torta, hay que gastarlas en elaborar y definir qué torta queremos y cómo la repartimos.

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