El post de hoy
tiene dos partes: la primera es una nota de William Engdhal aparecida hace una
semana en el sitio web New Eastern Outlook. El tema: ¿Quiénes están detrás del
recientemente electo presidente estadounidense Donald Trump? ¿Qué debemos
esperar de ellos? A ver qué opinan.
Título: The
Dangerous Deception Called The Trump Presidency
Epígrafe: The
project called the Trump Presidency has just two months before its formal
beginning. Yet already the hopes and fantasies of much of the world are making
him into something and someone Donald Trump most definitely is not. Donald
Trump is yet another project of the same boring old patriarchs who try again
and again to create a one world order that they control absolutely, a New World
Order that one close Trump backer once referred to as universal fascism. Ignore
the sometimes fine rhetoric in some of his speeches. Talk is cheap. If we
consider rather the agenda that’s taking form even in these very early days of
cabinet naming, we can see that Donald Trump is the same agenda of war and
global empire as Obama, as Bush before him, as Bill Clinton and Clinton’s
“tutor”, George H.W. Bush before him. There is no good side to what the world
is about to experience with President Trump.
Texto: ‘Ladies
and gentlemen, It’s Showtime!’ Today we give you Donald Trump. He will tell you
just what many of you want to hear. Trump the showman will tell you he will
make America great again; Trump will say he will ship at least 3 million
illegals back across the Rio Grande; Trump will introduce a bill to declare the
Muslim Brotherhood a terrorist organization; Trump will bring jobs back to
America from China and other low wage countries; Trump will sit down with Putin
and work out some kind of a deal to calm things down; Trump will scrap the Iran
nuclear deal of Obama…
Often during this
election campaign, which was more a Hollywood “D” grade movie than any honest
debate of policies and ideas candidate Trump made statements that resonated
with the “silent majority” of not only so-called blue collar workers, but also
the disenfranchised middle class whose earnings have been declining in real
terms since the 1970’s. Trump, like an earlier actor-President named Ronald
Reagan, has a talent to make himself sound sincere.
Is Trump a
Grassroots Revolution?
We should not
imagine for one second that the Patriarchy– those loveless old men like David
Rockefeller or George Herbert Walker Bush or unnamed others– were so
overwhelmed by the political genius of candidate Trump emerging from every
scandal more powerful than before, that they were surprised, out-foxed, and
just groaned and let it happen.
The Trump
Presidency has been planned in minute detail by them and their think tanks.
Quite simply, had they continued the policies that Hillary Clinton
represented–war and confrontation against Russia, against China, with Color
Revolution destabilizations of any and all political leaders who opposed them
whether Ghaddafi or Mubarak or even Putin–they saw they were losing power over
huge parts of the world, essential geopolitical power.
When a President
of the relatively tiny American former colony fears not to openly attack by
name an American President as “son of a whore,” and declare in China his
Philippines’ “separation” from the United States, when one country after the
other comes closer in economic and political cooperation to Russia, to China
and to their growing Eurasian economic cohesion around the One Bridge One Road
Eurasian infrastructure great project, it was clearly time to install a Plan B
President.
That Plan B is
casino mogul Donald Trump, a political tabula rasa, a power-possessed person
with a blackmail potential that will keep him on program for them, an alpha
male who is quite gifted at being able to make people fear.
If we were to use
conventional psychological definitions I would say the word sociopath fits:
“Antisocial personality disorder characterized by a lack of regard for the
moral or legal standards in the culture.” Narcissism would be another apt term:
“Extreme selfishness, with a grandiose view of one’s own talents and a craving
for admiration…” Read his own autobiography and his descriptions of his earlier
antics with mob lawyer and mentor, Roy Cohn, at the cocaine-snorting Studio 54
and look more closely at his actual life history, not only what he dismisses as
“locker room talk” eleven years ago with Billy Bush. He is definitely no JFK or
Charles de Gaulle, not even close.
I state clearly
my conviction, and please recall this as Trump Presidency policies unfold after
January 20, 2017 to see if I am correct or not: Donald Trump was put into
office to prepare America for war, a war the banks of Wall Street and the US
military industrial complex are not presently in a position economically or
industrially or otherwise, geopolitically, to win. His job will be to
reposition the United States for them to reverse the trend to disintegration of
American global hegemony, to, as the Dick Cheney, Paul Wolfowitz Project for
the New American Century put it in their September, 2000 report, “rebuild
America’s defenses.”
To do that
preparation, a deception strategy that will fatally weaken the developing deep
bonds between Russia and China will be priority. It’s already begun. We have a
friendly phone call from The Donald to Vladimir the Fearsome in Moscow. Russian
media is euphoric about a new era in US-Russia relations after Obama. Then
suddenly we hear the war-mongering NATO head, Stoltenberg, suddenly purr
soothing words to Russia. Float the idea that California Congressman and Putin
acquaintance, Dana Rohrabacher, is leaked as a possible Secretary of State.
It’s classic Kissinger Balance of Power geopolitics–seem to ally with the
weaker of two mortal enemies, Russia, to isolate the stronger, China.
Presumably Vladimir Putin is not so naïve or stupid as to fall for it, but that
is the plot of Trump’s handlers. Such a strategy of preventing the growing
Russia-China cooperation was urged by Zbigniew Brzezinski in a statement this
past summer.
Because he’s been
selected (and not by us dear voters) to play a definite role–to shift tactics
of global domination according to the basics of the 1992 Bush-Wolfowitz
Doctrine–preempting any nation or group of nations in Eurasia from challenging
American Sole Superpower hegemony–the selection of his Cabinet and key policy
advisers, is vital. Here we can already see the outlines of the cast of
characters who have been chosen to fill out the theater play called Trump
Presidency, and the emerging new plot for reconfiguring the Sole Superpower
strategy.
The dramatis
personae
As of this
writing, several key positions have been named. It includes three-star General
Mike Flynn to be the President’s National Security Advisor; it includes
Congressman Mike Pompeo of Kansas to be Director of Central Intelligence; it
includes Jeff Sessions to be US Attorney General and it includes Stephen K.
Bannon in a newly-created post as White House “Chief Strategist” and Senior
Counsellor to the President.
In this article
I’ll look closely at Mike Flynn, the former 3-star general who will be the
all-important Trump National Security Advisor, sitting in the White House.
Normally perceptive bloggers and analysts have greeted the Flynn appointment
with cheers of joy. They cite his opposition to US covert support for ISIS and
Islamic terrorist groups such as Al Qaeda’s Al Nusra; he is on record that the
2003 Iraq invasion was a “strategic mistake.” Moreover, Flynn is opposed to stirring
up war with Russia and instead calls for waging war against ISIS and other
radical terrorist organizations. In fact Obama fired Flynn as head of the
Defense Intelligence Agency when Flynn opposed the Obama decision to prioritize
the anti-Russia war over the anti-Jihad war, and called for cooperation with
Syrian President Assad to that end.
Flynn’s position
on war against ISIS and presumably also against the Muslim Brotherhood so
beloved by Hillary Clinton and the Obama Administration, is not one of a man of
peace. Rather it is one of a cold, calculating military professional, a
military professional who favors working with the Likud of Netanyahu to advance
the global agenda of war.
Flynn’s
statements on Assad and ISIS and Iraq must be interpreted not in a vacuum but
in light of a military intelligence specialist who sees that the decades-long
CIA and Pentagon policy of training Muslim Brotherhood and other fanatic
Muslim-origin terrorists to wage surrogate wars of empire have backfired badly.
Not only the CIA’s July 15 failed coup using networks of Turkey’s Fethullah
Gülen, but rather every CIA-backed Jihad war from Secretary of State Clinton’s
war against Mubarak, against Gaddafi, against most of the Islamic world to try
to impose US-backed Muslim Brotherhood terror regimes loyal to Washington, has
failed. The gross effect has been to drive much of the world away from
Washington and their constant proxy wars.
An intelligent
military strategist would say it’s time for another plan. This is what Flynn is
about. He will advance a shift in Washington policy away from using Muslim
Brotherhood and allied terror organizations towards more intimate restoration
of full cooperation with Israel’s right-wing Netanyahu Likud government.
Walid Phares,
Donald Trump’s adviser on terrorism, and Middle Eastern Affairs, told Egyptian
media in comments reported by Ben Shapiro’s conservative US blog, The Daily
Wire, that Donald Trump will back efforts to outlaw the Muslim Brotherhood as a
terrorist organization, something the Obama Administration vehemently refused
and prevented Congress from doing.
Anyone familiar
with my latest book, The Lost Hegemon: Whom the gods would destroy, will know I
am in no way a friend of the Muslim Brotherhood who have been in a dark
alliance with the CIA since the 1950s. Yet reality is not simplistic as in, “my
enemy’s enemy is my friend…” Walid Phares, Donald Trump’s key adviser on
terrorism and the Middle East, is also a Senior Fellow of a small very
pro-Netanyahu think tank called the Foundation for Defense of Democracies.
Foundation for
Defense of Democracies?
The
Washington-based Foundation for the Defense of Democracies, was created in the
wake of September 11, 2001 by a former Republican National Committee
communications director, Clifford May, in order to, as it declares on its
website, “promote pluralism, defend democratic values, and fight the ideologies
that drive terrorism.”
The notable point
about the FDD, whose Senior Fellow, Walid Phares is guiding President-elect
Trump on the Middle East and terrorism, is the money trail behind it. It was
founded and financed by a group of US billionaires closely tied to Benjamin
Netanyahu and his Israeli geopolitical agenda. The donors include the notorious
Sheldon Adelson, Las Vegas and Macau gambling casino mogul who according to the
Israeli press gave the Trump campaign $25 million in the closing critical days.
Other FDD financial backers include Jewish American with a long history of
funding pro-Israel organizations: Bernard Marcus, co-founder of Home Depot;
whiskey heirs Samuel and Edgar Bronfman; Wall Street billionaire speculators
Michael Steinhardt and Paul Singer, and Leonard Abramson, founder of US
Healthcare.
No surprise then
that the main Washington think tank called on to testify against the Obama
agenda of coming to a nuclear deal with Iran and lifting sanctions was the
Foundation for Defense of Democracies, who testified 17 times against the Iran
plan. FDD’s executive director, Mark Dubowitz, even helped design the sanctions
regime on Iran and its oil sales that was put in place in 2010.
In addition, most
other positions of the FDD echo those of the Netanyahu regime in Tel Aviv. Toby
Dershowitz, who spent 14 years as AIPAC’s communications head, is the FDD vice
president for government relations and strategy. AIPAC, the American Israel
Public Affairs Committee, was described by John Mearsheimer, University of
Chicago professor, as “an agent of the Israeli government with a stranglehold
on the United States Congress with its power and influence.” Trump was a
featured speaker at the March 2016 AIPAC annual meeting.
Mike Flynn and
Mike Ledeen
Now we return to
the anti-Muslim Brotherhood National Security Advisor, Mike Flynn. Flynn, along
with CIA director-designate Mike Pompeo, agrees that the Obama Iran nuclear
deal should be scrapped and calls Iran a state sponsor of terrorism, a position
dear to Netanyahu’s heart.
Flynn also wrote
a book together with Michael Ledeen. One doesn’t co-author a book with just
anyone. I know. It has to be one whose thoughts are in full harmony with yours.
Michael Ledeen is today a Freedom Scholar at, now isn’t this interesting: the
Foundation for Defense of Democracies. Worth noting, financial investor, Jim
Rickards, also is on the Board of Advisors of the Center on Sanctions and
Illicit Finance at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, and former CIA
Director James Woolsey, rumored being considered for a top post with the Trump
project, is one of four members of the FDD Leadership Council.
This year, 2016,
Ledeen co-authored a book with NSC Director-designate Mike Flynn titled, Field
of Fight: How to Win the War Against Radical Islam and its Allies. The ties
between Ledeen and Trump NSC director are clearly not casual.
Years ago
Ledeen–who was implicated in the illegal Iran-Contra arm for cocaine dealings
of G.H.W. Bush and his CIA Old Boys network during the Reagan years — wrote a
doctoral dissertation which I once saw, today almost impossible to find. It was
titled “Universal Fascism,” and dealt with the applicability of Italian fascism
of Mussolini to a global model, a fascist one world order if you will.
Michael Ledeen,
who prefers to be in the background, is perhaps best characterized as a
Godfather of the neoconservatives. He has shaped the policies of the likes of
Paul Wolfowitz, Dick Cheney, Don Rumsfeld and others of the US war faction.
In 2003 just as
the Bush-Cheney-Wolfowitz war on Iraq was underway, Ledeen gave a speech
titled, “Time to Focus on Iran — The Mother of Modern Terrorism,” for the
pro-Netanyahu Jewish Institute for National Security Affairs (JINSA) in which
he declared, “the time for diplomacy is at an end; it is time for a free Iran,
free Syria and free Lebanon.” To “free” Iran, Syria and Lebanon back in 2003,
almost a decade before the US war against Assad, Ledeen declared that Iraq,
Iran and Syria should get their “freedom” through a US-led “total War.”
According to
reports of those near the cabinet selection process of president-elect Donald
Trump, two people have decisive influence on who is being selected—Trump’s
35-year-old politically inexperienced son-in-law, Jared Kushner, and Mike
Flynn. Trump has even asked those two to sit in with him on those highly
classified Presidential briefings.
Winston Churchill
once said, “In wartime, truth is so precious that she should always be attended
by a bodyguard of lies.” It is already clear that the project of the Trump
Presidency, to prepare America for a new war, is already being well attended by
a bodyguard of lies.
***
La
nota que sigue acá abajo, del analista ruso autodenominado “Saker” y aparecido
estos días en el sitio web UNZ-Review, contra-argumenta varios puntos y conclusiones del artículo
anterior:
Título: Is Donald
Trump Really Only a Showman Who Will Prepare the USA for War?
Texto: Let me
begin by immediately say that I have the utmost respect for F. William Engdahl
and that I consider him a person far more knowledgeable of US politics than
myself. Furthermore, I want to also make it clear that I am not going to refute
a single argument Engdahl makes in support of his thesis simply because I
believe that his arguments are fact-based and logical. I strongly urge
everybody to read Engdahl’s article “The Dangerous Deception Called The Trump
Presidency” in the New Eastern Outlook and carefully consider each of his
arguments. Of course, Engdahl only offers indirect, circumstantial evidence and
only time will really show whether he is right or wrong. What I propose to do
today is to consider the other possibility, that in spite of all the evidence
presented by Engdahl, Trump might not be a fraud and a showman. You will see
that this conclusion is not necessarily more optimistic than Engdahl’s.
My main argument
is much more primitive than Engdahl’s and even more circumstantial: I see clear
signs of a real struggle taking place inside the US elites and if, indeed, such
a struggle is taking place, then I conclude that Trump is not a showman who has
been “selected” (to use Engdahl’s words) by the US elites but that quite to the
contrary, his election is a nightmare for these elites.
My subsidiary
argument is that even if Engdahl is right and if Trump is a showman, the ploy
of the US elites to save the Empire and prepare for war will fail.
Let’s take them
one by one:
The reality of
the struggle inside the US elites
Frankly, I don’t believe
that the imperial “deep state” was so devious and sophisticated to order the
mainstream media to organize a year-long hate campaign against Trump because
the “deep state” has calculated that only such a demonization of Trump would
make him popular and get him elected. Why? I just don’t believe that the US
propaganda machine is that flexible. You look at freaks like Rachel Maddows or
Martha Raddatz and you can tell that they are for real, in the sense that they
were never hired to parrot a specific political line but they were hired
because they are the living embodiment of a specific political line. And that
goes for 90% of the Trump-bashing media. Yeah, maybe some are cynical
presstitutes, but most of them come from what I would call the “tribe of assorted
minorities” which viscerally hates everything Trump stands for. Their hate is
sincere, it is pure, it comes from their very identity.
Likewise, when I
look at the fawning in lockstep before Hillary which the mainstream media
carefully nurtured I can only conclude that this is the logical outcome of
decades of brainwashing by the liberal propaganda machine. This machine was
built around hating the “common” American, the “deplorables” in Hillary’s
parlance, and this machine could not do anything but to worship her 24/7.
I am therefore
convinced that Donald Trump got elected in spite of, and not thanks to, the
“Patriarchy of loveless old men like David Rockefeller or George Herbert Walker
Bush“. Furthermore, when I see the desperate efforts by Soros & Co to
organize some kind of “color revolution” against Trump under the slogan “not my
president” and the efforts by, again, Soros & Co. to get Jill Stein to get
a recount only in the states were Trump won, I come to the clear conclusion
that the Neocons have still not accepted their defeat and that they are still
trying to prevent Trump from occupying the White House. In contrast, Engdahl
writes that,
We should not
imagine for one second that the Patriarchy– those loveless old men like David
Rockefeller or George Herbert Walker Bush or unnamed others– were so
overwhelmed by the political genius of candidate Trump emerging from every
scandal more powerful than before, that they were surprised, out-foxed, and
just groaned and let it happen. The Trump Presidency has been planned in minute
detail by them and their think tanks
I don’t know
about you, but I sure don’t get the feeling that what is taking place today is
the result of something carefully planned. I fully agree that the US deep state
did not just “groan and let hit happen“. But rather than letting it happen, I
see the US deep state fighting against Trump with everything it has! I don’t
think that the post-election anti-Trump hysteria has been planned by the likes
of Rockefeller or Bush at all. What I see are the Neocons using every bit of
“ammunition” they have to try to oppose and sabotage a Trump presidency.
Engdahl also
brings some very strong arguments against the nomination of General Mike Flynn
who not only is known for his rather crude anti-Islamic rhetoric, but who even
co-authored a book with the notorious Neocon Michael Ledeen. That a man like
Flynn could find no better co-author than Ledeen should set off “red alert”
alarms in the minds of everybody who understands what Ledeen stands for and
represents. And Flynn is most definitely one of the better people around Trump.
In fact, a closer
look at the folks around Trump reveals a lot of Neocons, Israelis and Judaics
and all in key positions. There is a definite Likudnik smell to a lot of the
people Trump has surrounded himself with. But that argument could also be
reversed – if indeed Trump is “securely surrounded” by doubleplusgoodthinking
Zionists, why their big panic? Could it be that these doubleplusgoodthinking
Zionists have some very strong concerns about what Trump might do as a
President once he is in full control?
Last but most
definitely not least: not only has Jill Stein been used to trigger a recount in
some states, but there are now rumors that some Electors are now being pressured
not to give their vote to Trump, as the law says they should. Whether true or
not, this kind of rumors clearly indicate that the Neocons are willing to do
anything and everything to prevent Trump from getting into the White House or,
if that is impossible, to maximally weaken him even if that puts the entire
country at risk.
Why do I say
that?
Because events
have a way of getting out of control which makes the kind of reckless
doubling-down the Neocons are currently engaged in extremely dangerous. Of course,
nobody currently expects the Electoral College to refuse to nominate Trump. But
the unexpected seems to be happening a lot these days. So what if something
like that happens? Or what if some states accept Trump’s victory, but others
don’t? What if the “not my President” slogan really goes viral and infects the
minds of many more people than right now? Or even worse, what if this
absolutely irresponsible rhetoric ends up in violence with either protesters or
Trump himself being shot? We know that the very same US deep state which
organized and executed 9/11 also used snipers in Vilnius in 1991, in Moscow in
1993 and in Kiev in 2014 to bring about an insurrection. There are also report
that such snipers were used in Libya, Egypt and Syria. Is there any logical
reason to think that this time around the deep state would not use such snipers
inside the USA?
While it is
possible that the current situation has been triggered by the US deep state, it
is equally possible that the US deep state is losing control of the situation
which might now be developing a momentum of its own. Would the US deep state
really take such a risk just in order to put “Trump the showman” into the White
House?
The plan
According to
Engdahl, Donald Trump was put into office to,
...prepare
America for war, a war the banks of Wall Street and the US military industrial
complex are not presently in a position economically or industrially or
otherwise, geopolitically, to win. His job will be to reposition the United
States for them to reverse the trend to disintegration of American global
hegemony, to, as the Dick Cheney, Paul Wolfowitz Project for the New American
Century put it in their September, 2000 report, “rebuild America’s defenses.”
To do that preparation, a deception strategy that will fatally weaken the
developing deep bonds between Russia and China will be priority. It’s already
begun. We have a friendly phone call from The Donald to Vladimir the Fearsome
in Moscow. Russian media is euphoric about a new era in US-Russia relations
after Obama. Then suddenly we hear the war-mongering NATO head, Stoltenberg,
suddenly purr soothing words to Russia. Float the idea that California
Congressman and Putin acquaintance, Dana Rohrabacher, is leaked as a possible
Secretary of State. It’s classic Kissinger Balance of Power geopolitics–seem to
ally with the weaker of two mortal enemies, Russia, to isolate the stronger,
China. Presumably Vladimir Putin is not so naïve or stupid as to fall for it,
but that is the plot of Trump’s handlers.
If that was indeed
the plan, then I fully agree with Engdahl – Putin is not so naive or stupid to
fall for it. In fact, such a possibility has been discussed many times by
Russian experts on various Russian talkshows and they all agree that while
Russia will definitely tone down its criticism of the USA if Trump appears to
be interested in collaborating with Russia, there is no chance in hell that
Moscow would in any way let the Americans weaken or otherwise affect the
unofficial but extremely strong strategic partnership between Russia and China.
Besides, the USA have nothing very interesting to offer the Russians anyway.
Why would the Russians spend any capital on a clearly dying Empire when they
have an extremely beneficial alliance with a growing superpower? Does anybody
in Washington DC really think that two decades of rabid russophobia have
suddenly been forgotten or that anybody in Russia will ever trust a word coming
out of an American politician’s mouth? For the past two years Russia has been
scrambling to prepare for war against the USA and NATO. Now that the danger of
President Hillary has almost certainly passed, yes – the Russians are delighted
that a thermonuclear war has become unlikely. But they will never forget how
close it came and they will most definitely not stop their preparations. At
most, they will somewhat slow down some programs, but that’s it. Fundamentally
Russia will continue her rapid pace of military development which, considering
the situation in the Ukraine and in the Middle-East, is a sound decision
regardless of what the Americans do or say.
I think I can
very accurately predict what Russia will do during the next four years: Putin
will meet with Trump and try to work out with him as many of the outstanding
issues between the USA and Russia as possible (that is, assuming the Neocons
around Trump don’t torpedo it all before it even starts!). If Trump wants a
reasonable solution for Syria and the Ukraine, he will get it from the
Russians. If Trump is serious about forcing the CIA & Co. to stop using
al-Qaeda & Co., that is to say if Trump is serious about smashing Daesh,
the Russians will help him too. And if Trump wants the Russians to help secure
a deal for Israel and Palestine, or help mediate some deal with the DPRK – the
Russians will oblige again. But what will not stop is the massive re-armament
of the Russian armed forces and the Russian efforts to politically decouple the
EU from the USA. These are strategic goals of Russia which will not be affected
by the USA. Furthermore, even if during the next four years the USA spends X
billion dollars on “defense”, Russia will spend far less but get much more than
the USA. Why? Because the entire US military-industrial complex is corrupt to
the bone and the US armed forces in an advanced state of decay.
Contrary to what
some Russian (and non-Russian) hurray-patriots think, Russia is still much
weaker than the USA, but she is catching up at a rate which the USA is simply
not able to match, Trump or not Trump, so the power ratio of the USA to Russia
in four years will be even more favorable to Russia than it is now. If the
Neocons really think that they can somehow reverse or even significantly affect
this trend they are wrong. The USA are going down and Russia is going up, and
nothing can stop this process.
The strongest
argument in favor of Engdahl’s thesis is this: while the Neocons have always
been clever and very driven, they are not very bright and they can only see as
far as the immediate short term. Furthermore, their truly infinite arrogance
always brings them to the same solution when presented with a crisis: double
down. And if that don’t work, double down again. And again. And again. This is
why all their grand plans first kinda work, but then inevitably come crashing
down, over and over again.
Right now, there
is nothing more stupid and self-defeating the USA could do than to double down
on all their failures, miscalculations and mistakes. The smart thing to do is
what Trump promises to do: to change course, “drain the swamp” in DC and save
the USA by giving up on the AngloZionist Empire. I hope that this is what the
slogan “make America great again” means: make it great by dumping the Empire.
My gut-feeling is
that Trump is at least partially sincere, how could we explain the current
Neocon panic otherwise? They seem to know something which really is freaking
them out. Might that be that Trump is serious about kicking their collective
rear-end back down to the basement from which they crawled out?
This being said,
please don’t conclude that I am any more optimistic than Engdahl. I am not.
It’s just that my fear is different from his. He thinks that Trump is a fraud
while I think that the Trump is unlikely to have the right combination of
intelligence, willpower, courage, abnegation and patriotism to purge the USA
from the Neocon rot. Simply put – I don’t think that Trump will be the
“American Putin”. Furthermore, I think that the choice of Pence as VP is
indicative a deeply misguided hope by Trump that he can appease the Neocons.
Finally, let’s
try to make sense out of Trump’s absolutely bizarre and, frankly, irrational
phobia of Iran. Is that not his attempt at throwing the Neocons a bone to chew
on in the hope that they will let him be if he “gives” them Iran?
One thing is
absolutely certain: if the Americans attack Iran, any rapprochement with Russia
will immediately go down the tubes. There is no way Trump can get some kind of
partnership with Russia while threatening Iran. Yet another contradiction in
the putative Neocon plan.
God knows I hope
that I am wrong. And, of course, I hope that Engdahl is wrong too. Miracles do
happen and sometimes seemingly mediocre or hesitant individuals end up showing
a strength and willpower which can change the course of history. But I think that
Engdahl is asking the right questions and sounding the right warnings. While it
is legitimate to hope for a miracle, one must never forget miracles happen very
rarely and that it is far more likely that they will not happen.
Le va a ser difícil a los EEUU de Trump sacar a Putin de su eje. Putin no es como los funcionarios de la era soviética muchos de los cuales tenían inclinaciones hacia la doctrina británica del equilibrio de poderes.
ResponderEliminarA Putin no le van a poder plantear las cosas por partes desconectadas del todo, el tipo de cosas Siria y/o Ucrania a cambio de Iran y China, etc. Putin y el presidente chino no están siguiendo a nivel internacional la doctrina del equilibrio de poderes, sino que están planteando principios de desarrollo del que puede participar cualquier país euroasiático si quisiera.
Rusia y China no están planteando ventajas unilaterales como acostumbra a hacer USA. Si hubiera sido así el acuerdo sobre el gas o la ruta de la seda serían cosas absurdas desde ese punto de vista.
Lo veo muy difícil separar a Rusia de China en base a supuestos beneficios unilaterales otorgados a la primera contra la segunda.
Me da la impresión de que Trump va a intentar (1) congelar los conflictos con Rusia, (2) provocar todo el tiempo a China hasta que afloje con algunas medidas comerciales (mayormente inútiles a no ser que los estadounidenses quieran rebajar sus salarios un 80%) y (3) destruir Irán hasta los cimientos, como ocurrió en Siria.
ResponderEliminarCordiales saludos,
Astroboy