Como lo venimos
diciendo, las provocaciones a Rusia por parte del Imperio, la NATO y sus
satélites van a alcanzar niveles de paroxismo en las próximas semanas. La Caída
de Alepo marca un punto de inflexión en el contexto geopolítico, y ya se
perfilan ganadores y perdedores. Estos últimos van a intentar un zarpazo final;
de ahí el peligro de los tiempos que se avecinan. Adicionalmente, la tentación
de dejarle un hecho consumado a Donald Trump, cosa de limitarle su margen de
acción en el frente externo, será grande. Via Zero Hedge encontramos esta nota
de Tom Luongo publicada originalmente en el sitio web PlanetFreeWill.com:
Título: The
Battle For Aleppo Is Over, Now The Real War Has Begun
Texto: The Syrian
Arab Army (SAA) has essentially reclaimed the city of Aleppo in the past couple
of days. The failure to break the siege
from the Southwest coupled with the Turkish Army not resupplying militants
meant the situation wouldn’t hold for long.
Aleppo is the key
to the Syrian ‘civil war.’ Now that pro-Assad forces have won the day it
touches off a number of responses around the region. This further breaks down the position of
U.S/NATO-backed forces trying to oust Syrian President Bashar al-Assad from
power, regardless of what Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has to say
about it.
It also ushers in
the next potential escalation of the proxy war between the outgoing Obama
administration, doing the bidding of the U.S. Deep State, and its opponents
coalescing around Russia and its front-man President Vladimir Putin.
The Aleppo
Fulcrum
Aleppo is the
strategic key to Assad remaining in power.
This is why it has been fought for with such vigor by all sides.
The only thing
left for the U.S./NATO/GCC coalition is a diplomatic solution. But, given the military facts on the ground
there is little hope of that as well.
The time for that was back in February when U.S. Secretary of State John
Kerry and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov brokered a cease-fire and
Russia announced the removal of military assets from Syria.
That agreement,
however, held no more water than the Minsk II agreement over Ukraine or the
later ceasefire in September. That one was broken within 24 hours by a
‘mistaken’ U.S. military strike on SAA forces near Deir Ezzor.
And now that the
battle for Aleppo is over, the whole regional situation becomes more dangerous,
not less. Because the window for any
kind of victory for those within the U.S. and NATO that pushed for this
conflict is closing as each day brings us closer to the inauguration of
President Trump.
And Trump has all
but said that his primary foreign policy goal is to reverse this operation and
assist Russia and Iran in wiping out ISIS.
The Responses to
Aleppo
Within hours of
the news that the Sunni militant resistance in eastern Aleppo collapsed, the
U.S. House passed House Bill 5732, authorizing an investigation into creating a
No-Fly-Zone over Syria.
In other words,
the U.S. House is looking for ways to start a hot war in Syria with
Russia. This may just be more impotent
sabre rattling by a fading group of back-bencher neoconservatives – think
Lindsay Graham and John McCain– but it is something that bears witness all the
same.
The goal of a
No-Fly Zone is to implement the ‘Plan B’ strategy to break Syria up into two
separate countries. Then they can create
some form of Greater Kurdistan across parts of Syria, Iraq, Iran and eastern
Turkey.
Russia’s
deployment of S-300 and S-400 missile defense systems around Syria and
delivering them as well to Iran is an important counter-move to this plan.
On the other
side, Sunni Egypt pledged to send pilots to Syria to help Assad wipe out what
remains of the ISIS/Al-Qaeda resistance in the South and East of the country.
When you have
Sunni Egyptians fighting alongside Shi’ite Syrians it is time to seriously
re-assess any conventional narrative you might have in your head. Egypt has now openly sided with Russia in
stopping the expansion of U.S.-fomented chaos around the Middle East and North
Africa.
And it seems the
election of Donald Trump was the impetus to break open these old definitions of
who is on which side.
Wither Saudi
Arabia
When all of this
is viewed within the context of the goings-on at the latest OPEC meeting the
picture becomes even clearer.
The agreement by
OPEC to cut production by 1.2 million barrels was done to prop up oil prices in
the medium term. This is an attempt by the Saudis to remain the marginal oil
producer in the world, a status they have not held now for the past couple of
years with the emergence of U.S. shale production.
But cutting
production to raise prices alone will not plug the massive hole in the Saudi’s
budget. So, they threw Indonesia out of
OPEC to allow individual GCC members to pump more oil under the rubric of OPEC
but cut overall production.
As this situation
gets more desperate for the U.S./Saudi forces trying to hold onto power in the
region, expect more aggressive counter moves.
We’re seeing
provocations by Ukraine into Crimea now.
Erdogan was likely forced to make that statement about Turkey’s invasion
of Syria being in service of ousting Assad.
The European
Union and Canada are contemplating and/or enacting new anti-Russian sanctions.
All of this means
that the likelihood of some ugly false flag incident rises by the hour. I expect Putin understands this and will not
take the bait but there are no guarantees.
No hay comentarios:
Publicar un comentario