¿Cómo se destruye
una gran potencia? ¿Cómo se la carcome desde sus mismos cimientos? ¿Cómo se
erosionan sus bases económicas hasta transformarla, de una ilimitada fuente
creativa, en un enclave parasitario sin mayor valor agregado? Las finanzas, chicos, las finanzas del universo corporativo. Didáctico y
pausado como siempre, te lo explica Paul Craig Roberts en el sitio web
Strategic Culture Foundation:
Título: Whither
the Economy?
Texto: The great
problem with corporate capitalism is that publicly owned companies have short
time horizons. Unlike a privately owned business, the top executives of a
publicly owned corporation generally come to their positions late in life.
Consequently, they have a few years in which to make their fortune.
As a consequence
of the short-sightedness of reformers and Congress, the annual salaries of top
executives were capped at $1 million. Amounts in excess are not deductible for
the company as an expense. The exception is «performance-related» pay, which
has no limit. The result is that the major part of executive pay comes in the
form of performance bonuses. Performance means a rise in the price of the
company’s shares.
Performance
bonuses can be honestly obtained by good management or mere luck that results
in a rise in the company’s profits. However, there are a number of ways in
which performance bonuses can be less legitimately obtained, almost all of
which result in short-term gains to executives and shareholders and long-term
damage to the corporation and economy.
Replacing
American workers with foreign workers is one way. The collapse of communism in
Russia and China and the collapse of socialism in India resulted in the
under-utilized Indian and Chinese labor forces becoming available to American
corporations. Pushed by «shareholder advocates,» Wall Street, and large
retailers, US manufacturing corporations began closing their manufacturing
plants in the US and producing offshore the goods, and later the services, that
they market to Americans.
From the
standpoint of the short-term interests of executives and shareholders, this
decision made sense. But to transform manufacturing companies into marketing
companies, as happened for example to Apple Computer, which apparently does not
own a single factory, was a strategic mistake for the long-term. By offshoring
the production of their products, US corporations transferred technology,
physical plant, and business knowhow to China. American corporations are now
dependent on China, a country that the idiots in Washington are endeavoring to
turn into an enemy.
Further downside
comes from the fact that research, development, and innovation are connected to
the manufacturing process, because it is difficult for these important
functions to be successful in a sterile atmosphere removed from the production
process. As time goes by, US companies are transformed from manufacturing
enterprises into sales organizations and lose connection to the work process,
and these functions relocate abroad with the manufacturing jobs.
Offshoring
manufacturing jobs left Americans with fewer high-value-added well-paid jobs,
and the US middle class downsized. Ladders of upward mobility were taken down.
Income and wealth distributions worsened. In effect, the One Percent got richer
by giving away US incomes and GDP to China. Economists who shilled for the
offshoring corporations promised new and better jobs to take the place of the
lost manufacturing jobs, but as I have pointed out for years, there is no sign
of these promised jobs in the payroll jobs releases or ten-year jobs projections.
Jobs offshoring
began with manufacturing, but the rise of the high speed Internet made it
possible to move offshore tradable professional skills, such as software
engineering, Information Technology, various forms of engineering,
architecture, accounting, and even the medical reading of MRIs and CT-Scans.
The jobs and careers of university graduates were sent abroad and denied to
Americans. Many of the jobs that remained in the US were given to foreign
workers brought in on H1-B and L-1 work visas based on the obviously false
claim that there was a shortage of talent in the US.
The gains in
executive bonuses and shareholder capital gains were achieved by destroying the
economic prospects of millions of Americans and by reducing the growth
potential of the US economy. In the long-run this means the demise of the US as
a world power. As I forecast in 2004, «the US will be a Third World country in
20 years».
As jobs
offshoring ran its course and had fewer remaining gains to offer the One
Percent, short-term greed turned to new ways of wrecking both corporations and
the US economy in behalf of executive and shareholder gains. Executives of
utility companies, for example, forewent maintenance and upgrades and used the
money instead to buy back their own shares. If you have ever wondered why you
can’t get faster Internet in your area or why your electricity is constantly
interrupted, this is probably the cause.
Executives also
use the company’s profits to repurchase shares, and when they lack profits executives
arrange bank loans to the companies in order to buy back shares. Executive
«performance pay» goes up, but the corporations are left more heavily indebted
and thus more vulnerable to recession and foreign competition. In recent years,
buybacks and dividends have used up most of corporate profits, leaving the
corporations bereft of updates and reserves.
Publicly owned
capitalism’s short-term time horizon is also apparent with regard to nature’s
resources and the environment. Ecological economists, such as Herman Daly, have
established the fact that environmental destruction is the consequence of
corporations moving many of the waste costs associated with their activities
off their profit and loss statements and onto the environment. As other ways of
artificially raising corporate profits and share prices become exhausted,
expect corporations to push harder against pollution control measures. As the
environment declines in its ability to produce new resources and to absorb
wastes or pollution — for example the large growing dead areas in the Gulf of
Mexico — the planet’s ability to sustain life withers.
President Richard
Nixon established the Environmental Protection Agency in order to reduce the
external or social costs that corporations impose on the environment. However,
the polluting industries were not slow in taking over or capturing the agency,
as University of Chicago economist George Stigler predicted.
A basis of
economic theory is the absurd assumption that man-made capital is a perfect
substitute for nature’s capital. This means that if the environment is used up
and ruined, not to worry. Innovation and technology will substitute for nature.
This absurd foundation of economic theory is why there are so few ecological
economists. Economics teaches not to worry about the environment.
To sum up, the
One Percent have enriched themselves at the expense of the economy’s potential
and everyone else.
Where does the
economy stand at the present time, a question on many of your minds? I am not a
seer. Nevertheless, various things are obvious. In the US consumer demand is
constrained by high debt and the absence of growth in real median family
income. Evidence of the constrained US consumer shows up in lackluster real
retail sales and in year-over-year declines in factory orders. On September 2,
Zero Hedge reported that factory orders had fallen for 9 consecutive months.
As I point out,
the monthly payroll jobs announcements are always overblown and consist largely
of lowly-paid, part-time, domestic service employment. The 5.3% unemployment
rate is phony, because it does not count any discouraged workers, and there are
millions of them. Indeed, the absence of jobs is the reason the labor force
participation rate has continually declined, a contradiction to the alleged
recovery. On September 1, the Economic Cycle Research Institute reported that
the US government’s data on employment/population ratios by education shows
that the employment/population ratio for those with high school and college
diplomas is lower now than when the alleged economic recovery began in June
2009. The only job gains have been for those without a high school diploma, the
cheapest labor available in the US. Clearly, these are not jobs that will
produce any rebound in consumer demand. And clearly education is not the
answer.
The main economic
releases from Washington — the ones that make the headline news: the
unemployment rate, payroll jobs, GDP, and the consumer price index — are
worthless. The unemployment rate does not include millions of unemployed, the
CPI is rigged to undercount inflation, and as inflation is undercounted, real
GDP is over-reported. Indeed, in my opinion and that of economic-statistician
John Williams of shadowstats.com, nominal GDP deflated with a correct measure
of inflation shows essentially no growth during the alleged recovery. What the
government and financial media call economic growth is essentially price rises
or inflation.
What is happening
to America is that all of the surplus in the system accumulated over decades of
success is being used up. Americans have had no interest income from their
savings since the Federal Reserve decided to print trillions of dollars with
which to purchase the troubled financial assets of a small handful of
mega-banks. In other words, the Federal Reserve decided that, contrary to the
propaganda about serving the public interest, the Fed exists to serve a few
oversized banks, not the American people or their economy. As an institution,
the Federal Reserve is so corrupt that it should be shut down.
The elderly avoid
the stock market, because a decline can be long-lasting and eat up a large
chunk of one’s savings. The same can happen from long-term bonds. Therefore,
older people prefer shorter term interest instruments. The Federal Reserve’s
zero interest rate policy means that older people are using up their savings,
at the expense of their peace of mind and their heirs, in order to prevent a
collapse in their standard of living. The elderly are also drawing down their
savings in support of unemployed children and grandchildren. Unable to find
jobs that will support the formation of a household or even an individual
existence, many young college educated Americans are living with parents or
grandparents, something I have not previously seen in my lifetime.
All the while the
corrupt financial media pump us full of good economic news.
Many readers want
to know if the stock market decline is over. It remains to be seen. In my
opinion two opposite forces are at work. Based on earnings and the economy’s
prospects, stocks are overvalued. However, the appearance of a successful
economy is important to Washington’s power, and this brings in the Plunge
Protection Team, a US Treasury/Federal Reserve team that intervenes to support
the market. Wall Street managed to get the team created in 1988, and in the
recent troubled days there are signs of it in operation. For example, suddenly
during a time of market decline strong purchasing appeared, arresting the decline.
Normally, optimistic purchasers who interpret declines as buying opportunities
wait until the decline is over. They do not buy into the middle of a decline.
Today most stock
purchases are made by money managers, such as mutual funds and pension funds.
Individuals do not account for much of the market. Money managers are judged by
their performance relative to their peers. As long as they move up or down with
their peers, they are safe. Once the professionals see that government is
supporting the market, they support it. This behavior is bolstered by greed.
Participants want the market to go up, not down. Therefore, even if money
managers understand that stocks are a bubble, they will support the bubble as
long as they think the Plunge Protection Team is holding up the market. The
unanswered question in the minds of money managers is whether the Treasury and
Fed are committed to maintaining an overvalued market or whether they are just
holding it up long enough for their well-connected friends to get out. Only
time will tell.
My book, The
Failure of Laissez Faire Capitalism and Economic Dissolution of the West, will
introduce you to the damage done by jobs offshoring and to the mistaken
assumption of economists that the environment puts no constraints on economic
growth.
The other part of
the story comes from Michael Hudson, who explains the financialization of the
economy and the transformation of the financial sector, which once financed the
production of real goods and services, into a money-sucking leach that sucks
all life out of the economy into its own profits. I recently posted a link to
Pam Martens’ review of his book, Killing The Host.
If you can absorb
my book, Michael Hudson’s book, and one of Herman Daly’s books, you will have a
much firmer grasp on economics than economists have. Go to it.
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