Recordarán lo del Reloj del Día del Juicio: una manera figurada de contar cuan cerca estamos de la hecatombe final. Al respecto, la nota es de
Krasimir Ivandjiiski y apareció originalmente en el sitio ruso Strogosekretno;
la traducción al inglés (de Valentina Tzoneva), fue reproducida hoy en
SouthFront. Acá va:
Título: At the
threshold of a Third World War
Subtítulo: The
Nuclear Clock is at Three to Twelve
Texto: The
dynamics of the events is huge. The world flew into a new zone of turbulence –
Brexit in England, after which the disintegration of the EU will follow; the
Warsaw Summit of NATO, where the pact announced a new cold war with Russia; the
attempt for a coup d’état in Turkey; the humiliation of the Russian sportsmen
before Rio; the monstrous terrorists acts in Germany, France, Japan, Iraq,
Afghanistan, Syria; the shooting in the “quiet waters” of Armenia and
Kazakhstan; the tension in the remote South China Sea, which can become very
close; the millions of refugees moving to Europe…
August really
became the hottest month in the last three/four years. The so-called clock of
“Judgement Day,” or the minutes and hours which separate us from a nuclear
Armageddon points at “three to twelve.” There hasn’t been anything like this
since the Caribbean crisis, but at that time there was no such clock.
The world sank in
the so-called summer “dog days.” The phrase “dog
days” refers to the hot, heavy days of the summer in the regions around the
Mediterranean. The accumulated heat transformed itself into a geopolitical and
military escalation, which turned August into “the big scheme of the matter.”
Some analysts
wrote that they are under the impression that they are back in the 1980s,
particularly after Islamic State declared a terrorist war on Russia too. I will
remind you that in 1979, the Americans were drinking champagne after the troops
of the USSR entered Afghanistan. They were jubilant. The Soviets got in the
trap on their own. Two fronts emerged (with NATO and China), and a third one,
this time with the mujahedeen and the Taliban.
Today, Russia is
in a more difficult situation with more fronts – with the USA, with NATO, a
semi-war with Ukraine, the war in Syria, the new iron curtain from the Baltics
to Black Sea, the riots in Uzbekistan and Tajikistan with support from Afghanistan…
Is this a new
1980? No, it is not. At that time, the USSR had a powerful economic, military
and social foundation. Today, the economy of Russia is much weaker; it is
gasping for breath; its resources fund is becoming destroyed, and a painful
reduction in spending is taking place. Against this background, what happened
in the USSR in 1979-1985 looks like a slight headache compared to the current
problems.
Actually: there
is nothing new. Only a new act in the drama Russia-the West, which started a hundred
years ago.
At the end of
1812, Emperor Alexander I informed Kutuzov about the necessity to “go to
Europe, to Paris.” Kutuzov objected: “We have nothing to do in Europe.” “We are
in Europe now, aren’t we?” the Emperor asked. “Are we in Asia, perhaps?” “We
are not in Asia either. We are Russia,” Kutuzov replied.
A hundred and
fifty years later, Putin added: ”It is not Russia that is between the East and
the West. The East and the West are on the left and on the right of Russia.”
The war against
Russia is not for a long time, it is forever. It means that even now, the war
against Russia is not to stop Russia from its revival. The stakes are much
higher. The point is a global leadership. In this battle, America is losing and
this provokes its ruling elite to aggression.
The war in Donbas
Since the
tradition of the USA is to prepare several provocations simultaneously in
different places, they chose the hot August for resuming the military
activities of Kiev against Donbas.
The captured
terrorist group in Crimea is a war.
The terrorist act
against the leader of the Lugansk People’s Republic, Plotnitski, on 6 August is
a war.
A war is also the
military structure of NATO coming out to the borders of Russia from the Baltic
to the Black Sea. The war is for Russia and for the Ukraine. It is about the
strategic security of Russia, above all about the flght-time of the missiles. A
Third World War.
That’s why Crimea
was returned. A Crimea of NATO would have cut off the European south of Russia.
That’s why Russia left the Treaty of Limiting Armed Forces in Europe and
positions new interesting “things” in Kaliningrad.
Russia will
respond quickly and surprisingly. When? When the general headquarters evaluates
that the improper deployment of NATO missiles could destroy Petersburg and
Sevastopol. Then the decision will be made instantly. And neither the USA nor
NATO will help.
And Putin warned
about this at the economic forum in Petersburg.
“We know what
will happen year after year, and they know that we know… Russia will no longer
play games with the USA and get involved in deals in the dark. Russia is ready
for serious negotiations, only if they contribute to collective security. All
aspects of global security now lie in ruins. There are no more international
guarantees for security and the country responsible for the destruction of the
global security is the USA. Russia does not intend to reform the world
according to its own views, and will not allow itself to be reformed according
to foreign views. Russia will not close itself for the world, but anyone who
tries to close it to the world will harvest storms. Russia will not act as the
savior of the world either, as in the past. Russia does not want war and does
not intend to start a war. But today, Russia can see that the explosion of a
global war is almost unavoidable and is prepared and will continue preparing.
Russia does not want a war but is not afraid of a war. Those who get Russia
involved in this process will learn the real meaning of pain”.
Actually there is
nothing to comment on here. Russia does not want a war, but is getting ready
for it and if it happens, Russia will enter it with all its power. No
hesitations, like in the times of the USSR.
Russia and Turkey
This will probably
be the political hit of the year. The failed coup d’état against Erdogan was
organised with the participation of the USA. Erdogan turned to the line of
getting close with Russia, which led to the meeting with Putin in Petersburg.
Important agreements followed. There will be more.
Turkey is in a
completely new situation. For Erdogan nothing is finished. The well-prepared
and almost successful coup speaks volumes. The military, which was under the
constant observation of the services, for the first time managed to bring the
matter to a practical finalisation. That’s why now Erdogan must manage the
consequences of the putsch and prevent a civil war. Turkey is balancing on the
edge and again the “Kurdish problem” comes to the forefront.
The USA changed
the competition for arming from the time of the Cold War with the war in the
Middle East, its re-shaping, and its attempt at creating a Great Kurdistan,
which will include territories populated with Kurds in Iraq, Syria, Turkey and
Iran. The 30 million Kurds in these countries are the biggest ethnic education
in the world without a state. The territories where the Kurds are, are rich in
energy resources. Strengthening the Kurds in Iraq and Syria will directly
affect the Kurds in Turkey.
Looking at the
map of Syria, we can see that almost all of the south, west and a part of the
north-west are under the control of the government troops of Assad. Exception
are those territories around Aleppo occupied by An-Nusra. If the government
troops clear these territories from the terrorists, an almost straight line
will appear. The government of Assad will control the whole west of Syria. The
Kurds will settle in the north-east and Islamic State will be in the south-east
and in the central part.
Assad will have
to deal with the Kurds after Aleppo and the destruction of Islamic State. If
Russia did not get involved, the reshaping of the borders of Syria would have
happened according to the scenario of the USA and the Arab monarchies. In this
case, Turkey would have played together with the USA and the Turkish Kurds
would have remained an internal problem for Turkey. But the warming up between
Turkey and Russia defines new realities. The government of Turkey realised that
the USA wants to divide the state regardless of Turkey being a NATO member and
an ally of the USA. The USA counts on the prospect of the ruled-by-them Kurds
as a lasting destabilising element in the Middle East against Turkey. Turkey,
however, is a state with a strong national doctrine and will not consider the
Anglo-Saxons against its own people.
The redirecting
of the foreign policy of Turkey to Russia means that it will be more difficult
for the USA to control Turkey. Bashar Assad and the Kurds are almost allies in
the fight against Islamic State. The Kurds are supported by the USA and Assad
by Russia and Iran who are not questioning the territorial integrity of Syria.
That’s why, in perspective, the major ally of Syria in the Middle East
regarding the integrity of the two countries will be Turkey. Iran will not
agree to the emergence of a Kurdish state as the Iranian Kurds are an explosive
factor.
For Erdogan now,
it is convenient to have Bashar Assad at his post. It will allow these two
counties to resolve the Kurdish problem in their interest, contrary to the USA.
However, no one knows how this will happen.
Putin-Netanyahu
This brings us to
the unexpected moment in these events of improved relations between Turkey and
Russia with Israel, and particularly between Putin and Netanyahu. It is clear
that Netanyahu like Bush Jr, Clinton and Obama is the same nominal figure.
After all, there must be someone to be a prime minister of Israel. Netanyahu
was a representative of the same circles, which were and are opponents of Putin
and Russia.
But gradually
with his politics in Iraq, Syria, Palestine and Iran, Netanyahu alienated
himself to such a degree that he will become inconvenient for the so-called
collective West and the establishment in the USA.
Netanyahu (and
Israel actually) started to become expendable. Kissinger warned that within 10
years, Israel might disappear. The strategic redirection of the politics of
Washington from Israel to Iran has started.
The Middle East
is facing crucial changes due to the huge reserves of hydrocarbons. All these
little papers – dollars and euros in which the local kings invest will turn
into dust in a split of a moment.
The map of the
Middle East will change for ever. In it, the space for Israel as a conduit of
the interests of the USA and England will be smaller. On this huge energy
market from which such figures as Saddam and Gadhafi were removed, to have an
ally like Netanyahu with his politics regarding Palestine, Syria, Turkey, Iraq
and Iran is boring and even dangerous. In this situation, Netanyahu is trying
to secure for himself “a place under the sun,” running between the strong of
the day and taking more of the course to Russia and Eurasia. This is something
entirely new for the genesis of Israel.
Will Putin
consider replacing the USA as a guarantor not only for Netanyahu but for
Israel, too? The consequences could be positive or negative, especially in the
line Russia-the Arab world.
An interesting
situation will take place with the Zionist coup in Kiev. The world will hardly
agree to the existence of two “Jewish states.”
I will speak on
this topic again in the future.
The Olympics in
Rio
Sport, to a high
degree, is a sublimation of war. Because of it, in ancient times the wars had
stopped. The current sport, however, is a sublimation of a hybrid war that does
not stop. That’s why all that is happening now around sport and doping has
nothing in common either with sport or with doping.
I will remind you
that the war of Georgia with South Ossetia started in 2008 during the Olympics
in Beijing.
WADA, the current
anti-doping agency, was established in 1999 without Russia and naturally turned
against Russia. The International Olympic Committee allowed only some Russian
athletes to participate in Rio, although all the rest in the West “take” much
more. But the Russians were humiliated. Only some were allowed. They were
allowed. They got the mercy.
Because of
Afghanistan, the West ruined the Olympics in Moscow in 1980. Today, the West is
in Afghanistan but “allows” only some Russians. This world has really gone
crazy. Russia is attacked in sections, piece by piece.
All this and a
lot more happened in August 2016. Meanwhile, the abovementioned clock of
Judgement Day measuring the time to the start of the nuclear war reached three
to twelve.
It has never been
so close to the beginning of the apocalypse.
No hay comentarios:
Publicar un comentario